27-08-2025 21:33 | Estofex | m.b.t. 28-08-2025 t/m 29-08-2025
Storm Forecast
Valid: Thu 28 Aug 2025 06:00 to Fri 29 Aug 2025 06:00 UTC
Issued: Wed 27 Aug 2025 21:33
Forecaster: PUCIK
A level 1 was issued across W France mainly for severe wind gusts and tornadoes.
A level 1 was issued across NE France, E BENELUX, W Germany and Denmark mainly for marginally large hail and severe wind gusts.
A level 1 was issued across NE Germany and NW Poland mainly for heavy rainfall and to the lesser degree fo large hail and severe wind gusts.
DISCUSSION
... W France ...
A fast-moving short-wave will cross the region towards Friday morning with environment characterized by marginal CAPE and strengthening low-level flow and low-level shear. Expect fast-moving linear segments and perhaps a couple of low-topped supercells which may cause one or two tornadoes and marginally severe wind gusts.
... NE France to E BENELUX, W Germany and Denmark ...
Scattered storms will form ahead on a cold front that will move E. Forecast profiles reveal modest MLCAPE ranging from 500 to 1000 J/kg and decent 0-6 km bulk shear of around 20 m/s. Low-level shear will be rather weak and with no curvature in the hodographs, predicted SRH values remain mostly below 100 m2/s2 in the 0-3 km layer. We expect a mix of multicells and short-lived splitting supercells with weak rotation. Stronger cells may be capable of marginally large hail and severe wind gusts.
(alleen de voor NL en aangrenzende gebieden relevante tekstdelen overgenomen, klik hier voor de volledige forecast, red.)
Hagel(-schade) | Onweer/blikseminslag | Verwachtingen/waarschuwingen | Wind/storm (-schade)
